Why venture capital struggles with timely returns
Traditional wisdom suggests that this difficulty arises because VCs typically invest earlier in a company’s life cycle and thus must wait longer for an exit. However, the reasons are more complex and multifaceted, involving structural, strategic, and operational dimensions.
Everything about Venture Capital is extremely complex, with significant local and sector-based nuances. However, in headline terms, the major challenges can be summarised as structural, strategic, and operational.
Structural challenges
Minority Stakes: VCs usually acquire minority stakes in their portfolio companies, frequently less than 10%. Even with board representation, their ability to influence the company’s strategic decisions, including exits, is limited. This lack of control makes it difficult for VCs to drive the exit process according to their timelines.
Sequential Financing Rounds: As companies grow, they undergo multiple financing rounds, each introducing new investors with fresh priorities and rights. These subsequent investors often secure terms that may not align with the interests of earlier investors, creating a misalignment in exit strategies. Early investors may find themselves in profitable positions but unable to cash out due to the differing exit horizons of new investors.
Portfolio Dynamics: VCs are often advised to focus on their ‘winners,’ the few companies expected to generate significant returns. This focus can lead to a passive approach to exits, under the belief that successful businesses will naturally find their own exits. This mindset can delay necessary actions as VCs wait for the optimal moment that may never come.
Strategic challenges
Lack of Exit Planning: Some VC managers lack the corporate finance experience to manage exits proactively. Viewing exits as an integral part of portfolio management is not always within their skill set, leading to missed opportunities and prolonged holding periods.
Incentive Misalignment: Chasing the highest Distributions to Paid-In Capital (DPI) can lead to extended holding periods, which can put downward pressure on fund-life IRRs.
Operational challenges
Valuation Overstatements: During a fund's life, Total Value to Paid-In Capital (TVPI) is used as a main return metric, which includes unrealised investments. This metric is prone to overstatement, as managers might inflate valuations to attract future funding. Such practices can mislead both the VCs and their limited partners (LPs) about the fund's performance, complicating the exit strategy.
Market Conditions: The past few years have seen challenging market conditions, with distribution rates hitting a 14-year low. Market volatility and economic uncertainty have made it difficult for VCs to find suitable exit opportunities at desired valuations, forcing them to hold onto investments longer than planned.
Proactive approaches to navigating exits
To navigate these challenges, Nodem works with VCs that have a proactive and strategic approach to exits. In general, there are several proactive paths a GP can take to enhance the probability of exit. This should be caveated with the fact that many early-stage investors are likely to have lost their influence at a board level many years before exit as a company receives waves of new large growth investments.
Regularly evaluate their portfolio companies using a clear set of criteria to decide whether to buy, hold, or sell. This ongoing assessment helps them make timely exit decisions.
Have a clear action plan for exits. Every decision to sell should be accompanied by a concrete action plan involving all key stakeholders of the portfolio company. There should be a very good reason why a company requires more time to exit. In some cases, a more aggressive approach may be necessary. Even without unanimous shareholder consensus, generating strategic offers for the business can push the company towards an exit.
Secondary Market Liquidity: When a direct sale is not feasible, we encourage our GPs to explore secondary market options to provide liquidity, particularly non-core positions, so the team can focus on marquee exits.
Fund-Level Solutions: Occasionally, at the end of a fund’s lifetime, rolling funds into new structures can provide liquidity options for existing LPs. This approach allows for a more flexible exit strategy and can cater to investors' differing liquidity needs.
Disclosures